National Party Transfers During Elections – The New Democratic Party

On Friday, I reported on the Liberal Party’s national transferring behaviour to local candidates.  Today, I look at the NDP.

In thinking about the literature on political parties in Canada and the political environment during the three elections, I expected parties to:

  1. Support candidates who cannot or did not raise their own money.
  2. Support candidates in ridings where party support is higher, but not too high (like in safe seats).
  3. Support candidates in regions where party support has traditionally been low but the prospect for growth is good (like Conservative and NDP prospects in Quebec).
  4. Support high-quality candidates.

NDP Transfers

The NDP’s national transferring pattern resembled a party with more regionally distributed support then a more national party like the Conservative Party.

First, like both the Liberal and Conservative parties, the NDP was more likely to transfer money into constituencies they had a better chance at winning.  For every increase of one point in the margin of victory/defeat, party transfers to local candidates increased by $61.92.

Second, unlike the Liberal and Conservative parties, the NDP was more likely to transfer money to candidates who already could raise their own money.  For every dollar that a candidate raised, the party transfers to that candidate increased by 0.033.  In other others, an NDP candidate who raised $50,000 received, all else being equal, $1,320 more than an NDP candidate who raised $10,000.

Third, the NDP was more likely to transfer funds to candidates running in Quebec than in Ontario (+$4,413) and transferred more money in 2008 than in 2004 or 2006.

Fourth, on average, quality candidates received, all else being equal, about $1,200 more from the federal NDP in direct transfers than non-quality candidates.

Finally, like the Liberal Party, the NDP was more likely to financial support its female candidates than male candidates.  On average, female NDP candidates received $1,000 more in national party transfers than NDP male candidates, all else being equal.

David Coletto is CEO of Abacus Data and leads its Public Affairs research practice. He has a PhD from the University of Calgary and is an adjunct professor at Carleton University.

Contact David Coletto:

T: 613-232-2806 x. 248



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